Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Significant Upside to Dendreon Stock in a Buyout

Acquiring Dendreon (DNDN-$7.50) offers a better-capitalized pharmaceutical company an opportunity to buy control of a potential blockbuster drug (on the cheap); mitigate revenue shortfalls going forward from patent expirations in their own portfolios; gain access to a lucrative new technology platform (targeted immune-cellular therapy could have applications beyond current labeling); and, cost-efficiently broaden existing oncology portfolio pipeline.

What is the manufacturer of the prostate cancer vaccine Provenge worth in a buyout?


Notwithstanding Bristol-Myers Squibb, David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Thursday, November 17, 2011

Is "The Sky Falling" at Dendreon?

Dendreon’s (DNDN-$7.50) balance sheet shows the strain of what happens when it takes 15 years to bring a novel, first-in-class cancer treatment like Provenge to market: An accumulated deficit of $1.6 billion and paltry working capital of just $74.7 million. Problematic – given forecasts of continued flat sales through mid-2012.

"Come," said Chicken Little,
"We've sad news to bring,
The sky will fall,
Killing all,
And we must tell the King!”

Digging deeper into regulatory filings, however, the 10Q Detective believes Chicken Little running around the company and pointing skyward is premature – the sky “is not falling” at the Seattle-based biotechnology company – at least not yet.

Read more at 24/7 Wall Street: Dendreon - Not Running Out Of Cash

David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Friday, November 04, 2011

MF Global Stakeholders Trusted Corzine, Lose Everything

Highly leveraged, with limited liquidity, MF Global was unable to meet margin calls or the demands from regulators to boost capital reserves. An eleventh-hour attempt last weekend to raise more funds or find deeper pockets (a buyer for the entire company) failed, leaving protection under bankruptcy the only viable option.

Despite decimating the company, had CEO Jon Corzine succeeded in selling the derivatives broker-dealer to a third-party, he would have been entitled to a $12.1 million severance package, according to the terms of his employment contract. Ironically, thanks to the last Republican in the White House, George W. Bush, Corzine is unlikely to receive any going-away gifts.

Can the former Governor and Senator from New Jersey count on Democratic allies in the White House to bail him out of this debacle?

Read more at 24/7 Wall Street: MF Global and Corzine’s Folly

David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.