Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Financial Transparency and Change Coming to LDK Solar? Thing Again.

That LDK Solar (LDK-$5.55), the world’s largest producer of multicrystalline solar wafers, kept up with most of its peers and blew past consensus sales and earnings estimates for first-quarter 2010 wasn’t too much of a surprise. The anticipated reduction of Feed-in-Tariffs (FIT) in Germany come July prompted customers to accelerate photovoltaic (PV) installations before that solar subsidy became financially less attractive.

Quarterly revenue rose 22.7 percent year-on-year to $347.6 million and reported net income was $7.2 million, or six cents a share, handily beating forecasts of $325.8 million and share-net of a penny, according to analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters.

Given an improving revenue and earnings picture, will the integrated solar cell maker finally move to improve its balance sheet health – as it had repeatedly promised to do numerous times in quarters past?
Read More > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Friday, May 21, 2010

Worried About Man-Made Disasters? Avoid Draw Muhammad Day

May 20 is being celebrated around the globe -- by infidels -- as "Draw Muhammad Day."





In honor of Draw Muhammad Day, we offer up this humble quote attributed to he who the fanatically devoted kill -- in his name -- and a shot at martyrdom and 72 virgins: "Worship God as though you see Him, and if you cannot see Him, then indeed He sees you." This quote is attributed to which religious leader:

Moses ___

Muhamad ___

Jesus ___


Monday, May 17, 2010

BP Finger-Points Blame on Transocean

Although the investigation into the oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico is still in the early stages, standard industry practice is such that unless BP can prove gross negligence by Transocean (RIG-$66.10), it and minority interest-holder Anadarko Petroleum bear ultimate liability for clean-up and recovery costs for the environmental damage resulting from the spill, not to mention likely punitive damage payments to all affected parties, such as fishery and tourism industries.

In predictable fashion, the finger pointing has already begun.
Read More > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Thursday, May 13, 2010

National Enquirer Offers Million Dollar Bounty For Alleged Obama Love Tryst Video


In March 2010, average weekly print circulation — newsstand and subscription — of the National Enquirer declined year-over-year 16.1 percent to 732,000 copies. By comparison, total paid and verified weekly circulation averaged about one million in 2007, according to media observer Audit Bureau of Circulations (ABC).

Declining circulation isn't just endemic to the Enquirer. Overall average paid daily circulation for the top 25 dailies fell 8.7 percent year-over-year for the six months through March, according to ABC. Weekday sales at the New York Times (NYT) and the Washington Post (WPO) fell 8.5 percent and 13.1 percent to 951,063 and 578,482 copies, respectively. In fact, only the The Wall Street Journal managed to eke out a gain, of about 0.5 percent.

What the Enquirer needs to pump up weekly tabloid sales is a good scandal – say, on the order of John Edwards and his love child. The Enquirer’s latest investigative controversy is a rehash of an alleged presidential cheating scandal between then Senator Barack Obama and a former campaign aide, Vera Baker (circa. 2004). The paper has offered a $1 million reward for alleged security video footage of the two entering a Wahington DC hotel together.

Can the Enquirer survive in the age of media-savvy competitors like TMZ and Perez Hilton? "Enquirering Minds Want to Know!"

Post Update: An "open-minded" reader -- (after looking at his blogroll links I suspect he probably thinks that the grand social experiments engineered by the likes of Chairman Mao and Stalin - in which millions were either slaughtered outright or starved to death very slowly -- were wonderful attempts towards the utopian plain of equality) -- had this assessment of my Nat'l Enquirer blog posting:

Ted K: I'm ashamed to say I had you on my blogroll. Not after this trash. Good luck keeping your blog going with this type "fair."

Me: Hey, Ted! What do you call a Muslim woman who previously favored western-style clothing, but after having an arm chopped off by the Iranian religious police only wears a burqa?

Answer: "Educated!

There you go -- How's that for transparency and fairness? Oh, my mistake -- only President Obama has a lock on those virtues.

Read More at BNET MEDIA > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

More Calls For CEO Blankenship's Resignation at Massey Energy


It has become a ritual at Massey Energy’s (MEE-$35.77) annual shareholder meeting for interest groups to stage protests and call for the resignation of chairman and chief executive Don Blankenship. Environmentalists and union activists have long alleged that Blankenship habitually fights against needed regulation of strip mining (gutting mountain tops for coal removal) and enforcement of safety rules that protect the miners – a disdain motivated by his desire to maximize the coal operator’s profits, according to his detractors.

An explosion at a West Virginia coal mine last month killed 29 miners and is expected to interrupt metallurgical coal shipments and sales through year-end 2010. Could Blankenship face additional calls to resign – this time from members of the board of directors?

Read More at BNET ENERGY > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Friday, May 07, 2010

"Spill, Baby, Spill" - Or Not, Says BP


British energy giant BP ($49.78) initially accepted responsibility for the April 5 explosion aboard the offshore drilling rig Deepwater Horizon. However, with efforts to shut down the well failing, and more than 5,000 barrels (210,000 gallons) of oil per day still spewing out of the broken pipe – and recovery costs climbing to $6 million a day and beyond – the British energy giant might be having second thoughts about paying all “legitimate and objectively verifiable claims.” In television interviews this week, BP executives noted that the disaster, in which 11 workers died, wasn’t directly BP’s fault, as drilling contractor Transocean was operating the rig on its behalf.

The spill is disastrous to the locals in coastal towns. The fishing industry in Louisiana could be impacted to the tune of $2.5 billion, and Florida’s tourism losses are expected to total around $3 billion, according to Sierra Club executive director Michael Brune.

How much will this spreading oil slick – potentially rivaling the 1989 Exxon Valdez spill into Prince Edward Sound, Alaska – ultimately cost BP, less insurance?
Read More > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Monday, May 03, 2010

Can Bristol Myers' Drug Pipeline Save Company?

Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY-$25.31) derives almost 47 percent of its revenue from two key products: Plavix (sales of $6.1 billion in 2009), a platelet aggregation inhibitor for the prevention of stroke, heart attack and vascular disease, and the anti-hypertension drug Avapro ($1.3 billion). Chief executive officer Lamberto Andreotti says the company’s ambitious go-to-market model will mitigate expected erosion in sales and share-net earnings from the lost marketing exclusivity of these cardiovascular drugs come 2012. Read More >….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Forget Fed Loans -- Think Cool Cup Holders at GM


General Motors (GM) denies a deliberate intent to mislead the American public with recent televised advertisements, countering that terms of its accelerated repayment of government loans terms had been fully disclosed. To the contrary, having forfeited the confidence of the American public when it relied on taxpayer funding for its long-term survival, the company is desperate to improve its image — and sell more cars. Read More >….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Could Bristol-Myers' Growth Flatline Post-Plavix?


In 2009, Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY-$24.50) derived almost one-third of its total sales, or $6.1 billion, from the blood-clot inhibitor Plavix (clopidogrel), co-marketed with French drug maker Sanofi-Aventis (SNY). Can growth from existing drugs help mitigate revenue and earnings lost to generic copycats when the drug maker's best-selling cardiovascular drug loses market exclusivity come 2012? Read More >….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Friday, April 23, 2010

Novartis' Search In a Post-Diovan World Continues



Findings from ASPIRE (Aliskiren Study in Post-MI Patients to Reduce Remodeling), one of 14 trials evaluating Novartis AG’s (NVS-$51.97) Tekturna’s potential benefits beyond blood pressure reduction, showed that although addition of the hypertensive drug did help limit changes to the heart’s shape and function in patients after heart attack (post-myocardial infarction), the results were not statistically significant.

The collective findings in the post-MI population do not support dual-agent suppression of Tekturna with other drugs inhibiting the renin-angiotensin system at this time, concluded Dr. Solomon, presenter of ASPIRE trial.

Going forward, what does this mean for Novartis’ attempt to boost sales when blockbuster BP drug Diovan loses market exclusivity?
Read More > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Monday, April 19, 2010

Talk of Oil Drilling at Chesapeake Energy Nothing But Gas


Chesapeake Energy’s (CHK-$23.50) near-term outlook calls for a shift in some production to oil and natural gas liquids, such as propane and butane. The number two natural gas producer will initially focus drilling activities on unconventional shale prospects, such as its holdings in the Granite Wash formations of the Texas Panhandle and western Oklahoma.

In the various Granite Wash plays of the Anadarko Basin, Chesapeake is the largest leasehold owner with approximately 190,000 net acres and is also the most active driller and largest producer. Speaking at recent energy conferences, chairman Aubrey McClendon identified particularly prolific gas- and oil-rich areas — with reservoirs potentially loaded with upwards of 90 barrels per million cubic feet — that have become the two highest rate-of-return plays in the company.

What McClendon, crowned “Mr. Gas” in a 2008 Fortune article, forgot to mention, however, is that profitable retrieval of these oily reservoirs will require much higher natural gas prices.

Read More: Chesapeake Energys’ Move to Oil Needs Higher Gas Prices

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Thursday, April 15, 2010

Solar Module Acquisition Better for LDK Solar or Chairman?


By controlling each node of the manufacturing value chain — and locating its new polysilicon plant adjacent to its existing low-cost (wages) wafer facility in Xinyu City, China — LDK Solar (LDK-$8.43) was confident it could reduce overall production costs, improve product quality (such as conversion efficiency rates), and enhance its core competitiveness in an increasingly crowded (and commodity-like) market for solar wafers.

In 2009, aggregate annualized production was about 6,000 metric tons — significantly lower than forecasted nameplate capacity of 16,000 metric tons. In addition to construction delays, costs for the silicon plant ha approached $2 billion — well above the forecasted budget of $1.2 billion.

In the fourth-quarter of 2009, LDK reported wafer average selling prices (ASP) of US$0.83 per watt, down from US$2.24 per watt in 2007. The significant decline in wafer prices forced the company to write down the carrying values of its inventories by almost US$500 million in the last two years.

Despite its inability to capture wafer cost advantages through the ownership of more of its upstream supplier chain, chairman and chief executive officer Xiaofeng Peng insists LDK should move downstream. In February LDJ purchased a crystalline module manufacturing plant owned by Peng for $21.5 million.

Is the decision best for LDK or Peng?
Read More > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Cabot Oil Still Has "Gas" in its Future



Cabot Oil & Gas (COG-$39.63) is showing early success from its Haynesville Shale assets located in East Texas, with its first horizontal well currently producing at 19 million cubic feet (Mmcf) per day, according to chairman and chief executive officer Dan Dinges.

Cabot’s asset portfolio is spread principally between low-risk/long reserve-life (27 years) Appalachian assets (Marcellus Shale) and high-volume/rapid-payout (estimated reserve life of 13 years) prospects in the Gulf Coast (East and Southeast Texas). Although most of its of its 2010 capital budget is geared toward expanding takeaway pipeline capacity and ramping up production at its core Marcellus holdings in Susquehanna county, PA, management has still budgeted about $181 million of capital funds for drill-bit activity on Haynesville Shale prospects in East Texas.

Dinges said at a recent energy conference that the company expects drilling results from three other Haynesville Shale wells during this quarter.

But other stuff is happening that could derail the company’s ambitious drill program this year.

Read More > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Thursday, April 08, 2010

Chesapeake Energy Looks Toward 'Oily' Future


“The economics just compel you to look for oil rather than natural gas right now,” Chesapeake Energy’s (CHK-$24.09) chairman and chief executive officer Aubrey McClendon told attendees at Hart Energy’s annual Developing Unconventional Gas conference in Fort Worth last week.

McClendon admitted on the company’s February earnings call that $5.00 per million BTU pricing on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) equates to $3.50 gas at the wellhead, once differentials like gathering and compression costs are included in the cost calculus. “Even $3.50 gas at the wellhead does not create enough cash flow in the industry to maintain today’s drilling price — even for the best-managed shale plays,” he said.

Why is the nation’s second largest natural gas producer suddenly priming the drill-bit for oil?
Continue Reading > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Monday, April 05, 2010

Denbury Resources Asset Sale Doesn't Change Outlook


Denbury Resources Inc. (DNR-$17.95) announced its intent to sell certain of its oil and natural gas properties (acquired in the merger with Encore Acquisition) for $900 million to Quantum Resources Management, a privately held Houston-based company. As expected, the properties to be sold are located primarily located in the Permian Basin in West Texas and southeastern New Mexico.

The leader in carbon dioxide-based, tertiary-recovery of aging oil fields said it would use the proceeds to pay down debt acquired in the $4.5 billion acquisition of Encore.

Although welcome news, the post-merged company would still be left with long-term debt of some $3 billion, or almost 40 percent of total capitalization. In addition, there is limited pipeline infrastructure to support planned CO2 -recovery operations in acquired Rocky Mountain assets. What now?
Read More >….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Thursday, April 01, 2010

Making Commercial Sen$e of Genzymes' apo-B Inhibitor Mipomersen



Mipomersen is an antisense inhibitor of apo-B protein synthesis, the first drug of its type. Genzyme (GENZ-$51.83) intends to first seek approval in the U.S. and Europe for mipomersen in those patients with homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HoFH), a rare genetic disorder affecting one in a million people, in the first half of 2011.

Investigators believe mipomersen could be a valuable addition to the drugs used in the management of HoFH and could prove useful in the management of other high-risk, patients with severe hypercholesterolemia (resistant to existing lipid-lowering drugs)

Recent trial results, however, have raised questions about mipomersen’s safety and tolerability, as 76 percent and 12 percent of patients in the mipomersen-treated group had injection-site reactions and increased liver enzymes of three times or more the upper limit of normal (with MRI findings of increased intra-hepatic fat content too).

Two experts on antisense inhibitors of apo-B protein synthesis, R. Dermot Neely (Royal Victoria Infirmary, England) and John J Kastelein, (Chairman of the Department of Vascular Medicine at the Academic Medical Centre Amsterdam), share their insights on the commercial prospects of mipomersen.
Continue Reading > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Denbury Resources Profiting from Greenhouse Gases


Denbury Resources (DNR-$16.87) has completed its $4.5 billion purchase of Encore Acquisition Corp.

The Plano-based oil company makes its money by injecting carbon dioxide into depleted petroleum fields to recover lost production, and the integration of Encore will more than double the potential of its enhanced oil recovery (EOR) assets.

Anticipated tertiary production from Encore properties in the Rocky Mountains (Montana and Wyoming) fits nicely into Denbury’s overall EOR program, said chief executive officer Phil Ryhoek, and will provide production growth in 2015 and beyond, about the time when the company’s Gulf Coast tertiary fields are expected to hit production peaks.

Can Denbury Resources profit from greenhouse gas emissions?
Read More > ,,,,

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Making Commercial Sense of Isis Pharmaceuticals' Cholesterol Drug Mipomersen

Isis Pharmaceuticals (ISIS-$10.31) sold development and marketing rights of its flagship antisense drug mipomersen to Genzyme in January 2008. Mipomersen, a first-in-class apo-B synthesis inhibitor, works by decreasing the production of apo-B, a protein critical to the synthesis and transport of LDL and VLDL cholesterol — the “bad” lipids involved in the buildup of plaque in the arteries and the development of heart disease — through the bloodstream.

Whether mipomersen rises to $1 billion-plus blockbuster status or remains a niche drug with $250 million peak sales will depend on how the FDA feels about approving the drug for use in a broad pool of high-risk patients (refractory to existing lipid-lowering therapy) with uncontrolled LDL.


Continue Reading > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Bearish on China Sunergy


With its domestic market becoming even more crowded with silicon, solar cell, and module makers, China Sunergy (CSUN-$3.91) is looking abroad to stabilize margins. In first-quarter 2010, management expects domestic shipments to be only 35 percent of forecasted 68 - 75 MW (down from 56 percent of total 2008 shipments).

Adding scale and market share — at least near-term — will pressure margins. It is difficult to comprehend how recent downstream acquisitions of solar module makers will stabilize margins — as predicted by chairman Lu. Positioning itself as a player in new markets, like Ontario and Italy, will require even more aggressive price breakpoints: Blended ASP during the fourth quarter declined year-on-year 57.5 percent to US$1.26 per watt.
Read More >….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.

Monday, March 22, 2010

Anchors Away for Crude Carriers' Common Stock?

Crude Carriers (CRU-$16.30) is using all of its approximately $254 million in proceeds from its recent IPO to immediately purchase one 2006-built Suezmax vessel, the Miltiadis M II, at a price of $71.25 million. This is to be followed by the acquisition of two new-built, very-large crude carriers (VLCCs) for $96.5 million each, with expected delivery dates in late March and June 2010.

After hitting eight-year lows, spot rates for most VLCC and Suezmax carriers reversed in the fourth quarter. Is now a good time for a new oil tanker venture to set sail?

Read More at BNET Energy > ….

Editor David J Phillips does not hold a financial interest in any stocks mentioned in this article. The 10Q Detective has a Full Disclosure Policy.